
There's always the good news and the bad news.......I'll start off and end with the good stuff, there's not much today.
On a positive note crude oil prices have been much lower this past week as the bubble seemingly has burst on the speculation that was driving oil prices up. Crude oil finished the day at $125.50, up $1.05.........but, quite a bit lower than the $145+ prices we were seeing in the last two weeks. Hand in hand with that the dollar continues to strenthen.
Stocks however, had a dismal performance....down 283 points to finish the day at 11,349. The decline was led by financial institutions, which posted their worst drop in 8 years and home builders. The amount of writedowns due to the mortgage mess continues and based on what analysts are saying, we're not out of the woods yet.
Washington Mutual shares declined a staggering 31% in the last two days, just to an example of the carnage out there. One positive note on all this is that those home buyers looking to purchase a foreclosure may have more to choose from soon in addition to the current supply.
Existing home sales for June were down 2.6% . What's troubling about this is that although the median price of a home fell 6.1% inventories were up to an 11.1 month supply signaling that the housing market is still struggling. Tight lending standards and slightly higher mortgage rates are making things a bit challenging.
Jobless claims were up.
Other news came from the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book report for the latest six-week period. It shows the economy as increasingly weak across most of the U.S.
All 12 districts reported slower home sales, continuing big inventories and falling home prices.
New York and Chicago also reported that buyers had increasing difficulty getting mortgage financing. The survey said tighter credit standards are hurting commercial real-estate activity. California, Arizona and Nevada "have seen sharp increases in home foreclosures," the Fed said.
The good news is that many analysts think the worst is behind us.......having said that many also note that it will probably be another 6-9 months and another 10-15% downside until we're looking at an upswing in home prices. I do continue to tell home buyers that there are many bargains out there with the current inventory of foreclosures.
Don't wait too long as interest rates are expected to rise in the next year. That extra 10% discount on home prices may not be worth as much next year as it is today!